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China Yuchai International Limited - 2012  (Inactive Symbol)

YTD Price Probability

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the stock for 2012 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value*: $10.1

Hist. Volatility: 3.01%

Annual Drift: 7%

Final Value*: $12.4

Percentile: 68%

Predicted price distribution
Click on the image for the high resolution version.
* Stock quotes on TextBiz are always adjusted close prices (what's this?).

HTD - LTD Price Probability

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2012 (what's this?).

 

Default Prediction for 2012-12-31

 

Default prediction by Z-Score (what's this?).

Z Score :  
1.3976   

Sector

Industry

View the other companies in the same industry : Engine & Powertrain Systems

Alternative Z-Scores designed for non-public companies (i.e. take these with a grain of salt):

For manufacuring companies:
Z' Score :  
1.1574   

Sector         Industry
    

For non-manufacturing companies:
Z'' Score :  
2.0655   

Sector         Industry