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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. - 2012  (Inactive Symbol)

YTD Price Probability

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the stock for 2012 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value*: $68.9

Hist. Volatility: 1.43%

Annual Drift: 7%

Final Value*: $71.9

Percentile: 50%

Predicted price distribution
Click on the image for the high resolution version.
* Stock quotes on TextBiz are always adjusted close prices (what's this?).

HTD - LTD Price Probability

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2012 (what's this?).

 

Default Prediction for 2012-12-29

 

Default prediction by Z-Score (what's this?).

Z Score :  
3.5967   

Sector

Industry

View the other companies in the same industry : Auto Parts & Accessories

Alternative Z-Scores designed for non-public companies (i.e. take these with a grain of salt):

For manufacuring companies:
Z' Score :  
2.8906   

Sector         Industry
    

For non-manufacturing companies:
Z'' Score :  
4.6935   

Sector         Industry