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Douglas Dynamics Inc - 2012  (Inactive Symbol)

YTD Price Probability

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the stock for 2012 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value*: $11.7

Hist. Volatility: 2.37%

Annual Drift: 7%

Final Value*: $12.2

Percentile: 55%

Predicted price distribution
Click on the image for the high resolution version.
* Stock quotes on TextBiz are always adjusted close prices (what's this?).

HTD - LTD Price Probability

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2012 (what's this?).

 

Default Prediction for 2012-12-31

 

Default prediction by Z-Score (what's this?).

Z Score :  
2.9219   

Sector

Industry

View the other companies in the same industry : Heavy Machinery & Vehicles

Alternative Z-Scores designed for non-public companies (i.e. take these with a grain of salt):

For manufacuring companies:
Z' Score :  
2.1343   

Sector         Industry
    

For non-manufacturing companies:
Z'' Score :  
5.4233   

Sector         Industry