Vanguard Mortgage Bkd Sects ETF - 2015  (Inactive Symbol)

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the stock for 2015 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value*: $51.4 Hist. Volatility: 0.2% Annual Drift: 7% Final Value*: $52.2 Percentile: 9%
Click on the image for the high resolution version.

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2015 (what's this?).